Metastatic Disease Of Screen-Detected Prostate Cancer

UroToday.com- The number of men diagnosed with prostate cancer (CaP) per prostate cancer death (the incidence/mortality ratio) has increased due to either screening effort or improvements in treatment modalities. Due to a developing burden of overdiagnosis and treatment of CaP, a need for risk stratification of CaP patients exists. In the online edition of Cancer, the group of Dr. Fritz Schroeder, report on the prognostic factors related to the development of metastases in men with screen-detected CaP which is non-metastatic at diagnosis.

The European Randomized study of Screening for Prostate Cancer (ERSCP), Rotterdam database was used for this analysis. From 1993 to 1999 in Rotterdam 42,376 men were randomized between the screening and control arms. A cohort of 633 men diagnosed with non-metastatic CaP during their first screening visit in the first 4 years of ERSPC was identified. The primary endpoint for the analysis was the occurrence of metastatic disease and the secondary endpoint was overall survival.

Mean and median follow-up times for the 633 men were 7.1 and 7.5 years, respectively during which 41 men (6.5%) were diagnosed with metastatic disease. The 10-year metastatic-free survival was 90%. The mean time period from diagnosis until metastatic disease was 62 months. After 10 years the overall survival was 65%. A total of 232 men elected surgery and 5 (2.2%) developed metastatic disease.

In a multivariate regression model, the time to failure in surgery patients was significantly related to the initial PSA level (higher was worse). In the 334 men treated with radiotherapy, the group with a Gleason score >8 and, jointly a higher total number of biopsy cores positive for cancer showed a different failure pattern when compared to the rest of the radiotherapy patients. These patients had earlier time to metastases.

The data suggest that the predictive potential of the total number of biopsy cores with CaP and the biopsy Gleason score strongly affects the time to metastases during the first 60 months of the follow-up, but the initial PSA level and poorly differentiated tumors are the only predictors for metastases occurring after 60 months.

While the development of metastases is not common in men with screen-detected CaP, individual risk factors can help to predict for metastatic recurrence.

Stijn Roemeling, Ries Kranse, André N. Vis, Claartje Gosselaar, Theo H. van der Kwast, Fritz H. Schröder
Cancer: VolumeВ 107, IssueВ 12, Date:В 15 December 2006, Pages:В 2779-2785

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